Economies are complex systems. Businesses are interlinked through fragmented supply-chains that connect diverse countries, regions and cities across the world. We help you understand this complexity and the role of tax and finance, innovation and infrastructure on economic development.
In a previous blog post I wrote about how the positive impacts of trade may be exaggerated by standard models – and how the economic impacts of trade may not always be positive.
I noted that simulations with Cambridge Econometrics’ post-Keynesian E3ME model would not necessar…
The critics of macroeconomic modelling often refer to the models as ‘black boxes’, mystifying entities whereby data is input and a set of results come out at the other side – the inner workings of the model itself are opaque.
It’s important to us that our tools, their scope and l…
Hector Pollitt argues that there is great value in economic modelling results provided that the right sort of tool is used for the policy question in hand.
I’m writing in response to a recent blog for Climate Strategies by Katy Roelich. Katy’s blog covers the complexity of impl…
Outdated theories, unrealistic assumptions… our understanding of international trade is skewed.
This latest blog by Hector Pollitt suggests that the ‘more is better’ assumption is too simplistic. In fact, he argues, the benefits of international trade are overplayed and it’s ti…
The concept of environmental tax reform is not new and is core to environmental economics, but is it compatible with Modern Monetary Theory?
Environmental taxes aim to raise revenues for government, while at the same time discouraging behaviour that damages the environment. Examp…
Unlike most other macroeconomic models, ours (E3ME) includes endogenous money as a core feature (including borrowing by government).
This difference is important because it allows us to best predict outcomes that might be encountered by our clients. Find out how…
We get a lot …
Hector Pollitt, our Head of Modelling, explores: what is macroeconomic modelling? And why do we do it?
“I am not a fan of economic models because they have all proven wrong.”* David Davis MP, Secretary of State for Exiting the EU, December 2017. Is this the case? Is it reas…
How will increased robotisation affect income, production and consumption? Will society benefit from the transition to automation in the long-run? Are humans destined for redundancy and poverty?
In his second blogpost on this subject our Director, Hector Pollitt explains why econ…
Could robots bring about the downfall of capitalism? Will some humans become totally redundant or will workers simply find jobs in other sectors?
Hector Pollitt explains why scenarios currently being assessed at Cambridge Econometrics are pretty pessimistic as far as jobs are con…
By Dr James Derbyshire, Senior Research Fellow at Middlesex University
In both our professional and personal lives, what is most available and prominent in our mind’s eye is what is already true, as represented by the present situation. Because of this availability of the prese…
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